Thursday, 3 Jan 2008
The BBC have published their list of technologies to watch out for in 2008 and some of it makes for interesting reading. Four of the five themes explored - blending offline/online, ultra-mobile PCs, widespread public wireless and mobile VoIP - illustrate the trend for computing power leaving the world of the desktop and the office and into your pocket, and the blurring of the distinction between offline and online.
Mobile VoIP and WiMAX public wireless go hand-in-hand and it’s very likely we will see more of both in the future, with demand for one driving likely to drive supply of the other. I don’t see either of these technologies totally dominating just yet - WiMAX have yet to gain a foothold in Europe and the investment demands means 3G services have a natural head start over it for providing high-speed mobile Internet. Mobile VoIP depends not just on bandwidth but also handset provision, and this too will take time to take off. Maybe one for 2009 rather than 2008?
The most interesting is the ultra-mobile computing. Thanks to Moore’s Law, and technologies such as flash memory and sharper, smaller LCD screens, notebook PCs are shrinking and shrinking, while mobile phones are able to pack a lot more power in. While we have long considered a computer as either a desktop unit, or a bulky laptop of a similar size and designed along the same lines, the design paradigm is really shifting rapidly to something very different, and ultra-mobile PCs (UMPCs) are the start of that.
UMPCs (like the Asus EEE pictured on the right) have ditched hard drives and optical drives in favour of solid-state storage and using wireless and USB, cutting the size down. Who knows what’s next for this kind of PC. Do they really need a keyboard or mouse pointer as input, with touchscreen technology ever advancing? Closer integration with mobile phones and other portable devices via wi-fi or Bluetooth is an obvious possibility - once these are aligned together in a “personal area network”, itself connected to the wider world all the time, does it even mean the “computer” is a single device any more?
Tie that in with the advances in web services and synchronising online and offline (which will become more and more essential), and our concept of what makes a “computer” may become a lot more fluid. No longer bound in a single device, our files, music, video and data can roam between devices within our network and across locations seamlessly, and our computer becomes a more virtual kind of machine, that is always at hand whether we are at home or away, independent of the hardware it’s running on.
Well, that’s one strand of thought about the future of technology. Why not add yours below in the comments?